BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 80 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (2-5) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =  152.86

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Away    L   162.11  23  31   1A  27 (  8-  5) Southern Cal            9.25    -17.25                      
  2 09/07/2019 Home    L   167.82  35  38   1A  20 ( 11-  2) Minnesota              14.96    -17.96                      
  3 09/21/2019 Home    W   165.33  34  20   1B   4 (  9-  4) Sacramento St          12.47      1.53                      
  4 09/28/2019 Away    W   146.67  30  17   1A 125 (  2- 10) New Mexico St          -6.18     19.18                      
  5 10/12/2019 Away    L * 149.42  24  43   1A  30 ( 11-  2) Air Force              -3.44    -15.56                      
  6 10/18/2019 Home    W * 168.12  56  27   1A 117 (  4-  8) UNLV                   15.27     13.73                      
  7 10/26/2019 Home    L * 134.34  31  41   1A  98 (  4-  8) Colorado St           -18.52      8.52                      
  8 11/02/2019 Away    W * 160.52  41  38   1A  71 ( 10-  5) Hawaii                  7.66     -4.66                      
  9 11/09/2019 Home    L * 149.15  35  37   1A  81 (  7-  6) Utah St                -3.70      1.70                      
 10 11/15/2019 Away    L * 149.65   7  17   1A  59 ( 10-  3) San Diego St           -3.21     -6.79                      
 11 11/23/2019 Home    L * 132.07  28  35   1A 112 (  7-  6) Nevada                -20.79     13.79                      
 12 11/30/2019 Away    L   149.08  16  17   ZZ   1 (  5-  7) San Jose St            -3.78      2.78                      
      Averages             152.86  30.0 30.1

Best game:  168.12 = 29 point win over UNLV
Worst game: 132.07 = 7 point loss to Nevada
Team stdev:  12.14